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30:09:2016

Европейский сейсмологический центр EMSC сообщил, что в центральной части Италии произошло землетрясение магнитудой 6,1. По данным Геологической службы США (USGS), сила толчков составила 6,2.

14:01:2016

Elchin Khalilov has informed about the beginning of new project GNFE under the name "Geodynamic monitoring and hazard early warning system in landslide areas:"GeoDyn".

The new project is based on use of long-term experience effective application of international systems and geodynamical monitoring for forecasting of earthquakes. The project's mission is to create an effective technology for monitoring and early warning of people about the danger of a landslide, reducing thereby the risk to potential victims and other negative consequences of landslides affecting cities and high-risk industrial facilities (main highways and railways, dams, fuel storages and warehouses for toxic substances, petrochemical plants, etc.).

04:12:2015

Prof. Elchin Khalilov is President of the Global Network for the Forecasting of Earthquakes GNFE (UK) and Chairman of GEOCHANGE International Committee (Germany), gave the forecast of seismic activity of the world till 2026 on behalf of the above-mentioned organizations.

30:11:2015

Проф. Эльчин Халилов - Президент Глобальной Сети Прогнозирования Землетрясений GNFE (UK) и  Председатель Международного  Комитета  GEOCHANGE (Germany), представил  прогноз  сейсмической активности  мира до 2026 года от имени вышеуказанных организаций. 

 

International Committee Geochange came to defence Italian scientists sentenced for 6 years

The International Committee GEOCHANGE on Global Geological and Environmental Change (Germany), which unites leading scientists and experts from 89 countries, and the Global Network for the Forecasting of Earthquakes (GNFE, UK) have addressed the Italian President with a letter regarding the 6-year imprisonment of known scientists and government officials. They are being charged with manslaughter on the grounds that they denied the possibility of a strong earthquake that did occur in the city of Aquila on April 6, 2009, preventing the city’s population from preparing in time for the disaster.

In particular, the address runs as follows: “predicting earthquakes with high reliability within a single country is impossible. This is a problem of modern geophysics and its solution can be reached throughcooperation of scientists from different countries and creation of an international system for monitoring of parameters of the geological environment and earthquake forecasting.At the same time, the long experience of seismology proves that earthquake forecasting involves not only scientific, but also social and legal aspects. In particular, there are no international or national legal mechanisms and laws that give a clear definition of “earthquake forecast” and establish the responsibility degree and social protection of scientists providing forecasts and government officials making decisions after receiving the forecast. This makes it impossible to properly classify their actions.

In Italy, as in many countries, there are also active volcanoes, landslide areas and other potentially dangerous natural formations. The above-mentioned issues are relevant not only to earthquake forecasts but also for other types of natural disasters.That these problems have yet to be solved does not provide, in our opinion, sufficient grounds for imposing such a severe punishment on the Italian scientists who were not able to give a reliable earthquake forecast and prepare the population for the disaster in advance. Moreover, the court’s decision sets a precedent of unjust persecution of scientists who do the noble and important work of developing new natural disaster prediction methods, which causes irreparable damage to the progress of science.”

The head of the International Committee GEOCHANGE and GNFE, well-known scientists – geophysicist Professor Elchin Khalilov has expressed his willingness to appear in the court of appealas a witness and scientific expert to defend the Italian scientists.

Full text of the address is here.......

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